Trading Talk King George Preview
For many, Boxing Day is about terrible hangovers
, turkey sandwiches and a sea of wrapping paper. For spread bettors, it is about Premier League football and the King George VI Chase at Kempton Park. Sporting Index customers are well acquainted with Paul Nicholls Kauto Star, who is bidding to make history by winning a fourth successive King George.
Buyers of Kauto Star on the win index spread will love the fact that the French-bred gelding has won his last seven races on right handed tracks and many consider Kempton Park to be his favourite course. The dual Cheltenham Gold Cup winner was given a fright by Imperial Commander in this years Betfair Chase, but he eventually prevailed by a nose and should improve for the outing.
Sellers of Ruby Walshs mount on the index not only have the progressive Imperial Commander on their side, but can also rely on Kempton specialists Madison Du Berlais and Nacarat, amongst others. They will hope that one of Kauto Stars infamous jumping errors proves costly this year, as he made final fence mistakes in both the 2006 and 2008 editions of the race.
A Kauto Star victory would not only bring the house down at Kempton Park, but it would give his trainer Paul Nicholls a record sixth win. Nicholls five wins as a trainer have been equalled by both Franois Doumen and Fulke Walwyn in the past. Jockey Ruby Walsh is just one win behind Richard Dunwoodys four, who was associated with the great Desert Orchid.
Favourites have a brilliant record in the King George, as the last five have done the business. Sellers of Sporting Indexs starting price market can boast that eight of the last ten winners have been sent off at odds of 3/1 or shorter. Meanwhile spread buyers will feel that it is time for an outsider to spoil the Kauto Star parade at massive odds, perhaps something along the lines of Edredon Bleus 2003 win at a whopping 25/1.
No matter which horse romps to a famous King George win, spread bettors will be keeping a close eye on the winning distances. Buyers of the winning distance spread will know that Kauto Star has always won this race by at least eight lengths and that Paul Nicholls other multiple King George winner, See More Business, hosed up by 17 lengths in 1999. Meanwhile sellers will be hoping that the race becomes competitive again, so that they can witness a tight finish of necks, such as in 2005, when Kicking King just held off the rallying Monkerhostin to record a double.
The first ever winner of the race back in 1937, Southern Hero, is still the oldest winner of the King George at 12 years old. Our Vic wouldnt join him in the record books, even if he manages to pull of an unlikely victory. The David Johnson owned veteran only turns 12 next month. Tartak and What A Friend were both novice chasers last year, but the six-year-olds wont be taking the honours as the youngest ever winner, which belongs to Manicou - who won the race at the tender age of five.
by: Chris William
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