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Day Trading September 3, 2010 - TraderMongers.com Economic Analysis: ISM Non-Mfg Index

Day Trading September 3, 2010 - TraderMongers.com Economic Analysis: ISM Non-Mfg Index

Understanding the direction of the market as well as the economic activity will lead to profitable trades

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S&P 500

President Obama will be taking care of stimulating the economic activity in the USA while ending the military activity in Iraq. The end of the military activity may not go well for Aerospace and Defense sector stocks. Retails have a strong August due to back to school sales. Yesterday jobless claims edged lower however not enough to make a long-term impact. Economic activity is still the same as we are in the worst economic environment since the Great Depression. During that time the stock market did not hit a new high until after two decades had past.

Today Employment situation and Non-ISM manufacturing numbers are on the menu for today. Institutions and investors will be returning back to the markets after the Labor Day weekend on Tuesday. However for now traders are covering up their short positions from their August trades.

On the daily chart of the S&P 500, the market is still trading below between the 144 and 200 day moving averages after the first day of September. During the month of August the S&P 500 attempted to break through the 2010 January resistance levels starting from 1125 however fell short due to volume. Markets should continue to trade sideways for the next two months until elections are over in November. Volume will expect to pick up after the Labor Day weekend as institutional traders and investors return from their summer vacations.

The Market Volatility Index or VIX track prices that investors are willing to pay for options on the S&P 500, usually to protect themselves against declines in stocks.The VIX peaked in May during the Sell in May seasonal trend trading above the 30 mark as institutions and investors switched from equities to cash before the summer season.

Currently the VIX trading slightly below the 144 and 200 day moving averages indicating more risky approach towards investments and assets. The thin trading volume in August magnified moves on the VIX so markets could be less liquid markets than fear-driven. The previous low for the VIX is the 22 area which will be broken once the market finds direction after the mid-term elections in November.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Market Volatility Index measures options activity within the market and is widely used tracking the S&P 500. A common trading strategy for traders and investors includes a VIX level of 30 or above means an immediate switch from equities to cash. Traders and investors are retreating from the markets and finding safety and protection within the Treasuries, gold, and the dollar when the index is trading above 30.

Summary of Major S&P Pivot Levels

1219: S&P 500 52 Week High

Technical Levels Natural Support and Resistance

1125: January 2010 Resistance Level

1100: Natural Resistance Level

1075: Natural Support Level

1050: Natural Support Level

Technical Levels 30 Minute Chart

1074: 144 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on 5 Minute Chart

1070: 200 Day Moving Average on 5 Minute Chart

Technical Levels Daily Chart

1096: 144 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on Daily Chart

1089: 200 Day Moving Average on Daily Chart

Daily Economic Calendar

Employment Situation / 8.30 EST

ISM Non-Mfg Index / 10.00 EST

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Day Trading September 3, 2010 - TraderMongers.com Economic Analysis: ISM Non-Mfg Index

By: Shamim Ziyaaudhin
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Day Trading September 3, 2010 - TraderMongers.com Economic Analysis: ISM Non-Mfg Index