Daily Stock Report for Monday Morning, February 21, 2010 pt1Stocks continued to move up Friday and was up slightly at the close on low volume. The concern about the Feds surprise move in the Discount rate wore off after an hour or so and moved up.After the Fed clarified that this was not a rate hike but is more of a technical move between banks and the Fed, it may have calmed the markets on Thursday night. After watching the PPI and CPI numbers...more
Daily Stock Report for Thursday Morning, February 25, 2010 pt2Summary Opinion We are at a critical level that could establish a downtrend if lower lows are made or this could be just a pullback within an uptrend. Start gradually peeling off long positions this next few days for short-term investor.Calendar Tuesday, 900am, ET, Case-Shiller Housing Index, -3.1%Tuesday, 1000am ET, Consumer Confidence, 55.0Wednesday, 1000am ET, New Home Sales,...more
Daily Stock Report for Tuesday Morning, February 23, 2010 pt1The stock market closed down slightly after selling in the last hour took stocks from a slightly positive to an 19 point drop on the Dow30 and smaller losses on the Nasdaq and S&P 500.We might see a little bit of nervousness over the Bernanke testimony Tuesday and Wednesday but the market is always nervous about something. Obama was on television today continuing to convince the public he is doing a good job as his approval ratings are at near all time low. The market did its normal behavior and sold off toward the lows after he was done. We havent seen a President speak so much in our history of trading stocks, not even Clinton. He does have a difficult challenge though at turning the economy around.He has switched to pick on the healthcare stocks again today from the financial institutions. And this see-saw targeting causes gyrations in stocks like AET, WLP, HUM, UNH.On Sunday, the National Association for Business Economics increased their forecast for an economic recovery that is slightly better than their previous forecast. This may have kept a underlying bullishness of the market today. We are likely to see...more
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Daily Stock Report for Wednesday Morning, February 24, 2010 pt1The stock market had its biggest drop in three weeks that probably was rattled by the Consumer Confidence numbers that came out today. Expectations was a reading of 55 and came out at 46.It should not have been a surprise but stock markets dont need a good reason to do anything. Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke is giving his semi-annual economic report to Congress starting Wednesday and Thursday and will be under a lot of pressure to perform and lower the unemployment rate.The overriding language that the Fed has been using is holding key interest rates to a record low near zero for an extended period. The biggest challenge and unpopular decision is the time when the Fed has to raise rates and tighten credit for consumers even while the unemployment rate (currently 9.7%) is still high. The US Dollar is still on an uptrend which has surprisingly not affected the stock market as much as previous months. The increasing dollar helps our short positions with commodity related stocks including oil and the ag-chemical stocks (MOS and AGU) that are currently short in the stock table.The retailers earnings report were...more
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Daily Stock Report for Friday Morning, February 19, 2010 pt2Summary Opinion We are at a critical level that could establish a downtrend if lower lows are made or this could be just a pullback within an uptrend. The odds of a downtrend starting is...more